Readers of the Film Funding Blog often ask, “are studios and distributors spending marketing money wildly?” This really speaks to an underlying question, is theatrical distribution unprofitable for independent films?
To address this issue, I thought it might be helpful for me to contribute some perspective on the forces that can shape the P&A budget. My analysis is based on my years as a film distribution executive at Fox, Warner Bros., and New Line Cinema. I mention my background so that you can judge circumstances for yourself, without any undue spin.
(Photo by atp_tyreseus)
When a national theater chain decides to buy a picture, we usually consider that to be a good thing. But, one of two things may happen. First possibility is that the picture opens wide. This means that P&A is needed to support a large release (more prints, local newspapers, radio/TV, etc) and, before a single ticket is purchased, potentially millions of marketing dollars have been spent. If the film does not open well, the marketing spend will look hugely out of proportion to the results. Unfortunately, the final outcome is only knowable after most of the money has been spent.
Alternatively, it is possible to “platform” a film release. However, this usually works best in cases where you think the word of mouth will be very strong. Problem with a platform release is that you may never get a chance to open wider. Your theatrical distribution costs are lower, and your theatrical release may be profitable on a percentage basis, but you could wind up leaving millions in profit on the table.
Given the chance to open on say 500 screens (still far from a mega release), and a platform (2-20 screens), most people will choose to open wider because the revenue and profit tend to be higher (higher risk/higher return). Also, if a theater chain offers a wider release, if you suggest a smaller one you may be signaling a lack of faith in the motion picture.
Usually, as a producer/financier, you have almost no control over how the picture rolls out. Even if you pay the P&A cost, you are at the whims of the marketplace (actually, you are just facing more powerful players with stronger leverage). This means that your distribution strategy faces a complex set of dynamics, and you are forced to play the hand you are dealt.
As a footnote, the advertising for domestic releases is also tracked by the video retailers. They know that if the film did not have much market support, there is unlikely to be much awareness. This can limit the DVD sales.
There can be more upward pressure on a film’s marketing spend. Other ancillary markets (like airline sales) are frequently pegged to the US Box Office. It can often pay to buy a larger box office opening by spending more on theatrical marketing. Theatrical will run at a loss, but the goal is to build profit from DVD, television, and other distribution channels.
I would say that the typical film does not break even from theatrical. Even the most successful independent releases make only a very small profit from theaters. Could the marketing money be better spent? There is always the old adage that half the marketing budget fails to produce the desired result. It just isn’t that easy to figure out which half. Theatrical is not always a money loser, but it does tend to be a loss-leader.
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